Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 20 setembro 2024
So the story goes, as told by Stephen Sigler, Nature May 1989: "The US military studied fighter planes returning from missions to try to improve their survival rate and were considering adding heavy armour to those parts of the plane that tended to show the greatest concentration of hits from enemy fire, until statisticians pointed out the fallacy of that argument. The more vulnerable parts of the plane were those with the fewest hits; planes hit there tended not to return at all. The single most vulnerable part, the pilot’s head, was without serious scar in the sample of planes that returned." It’s easy to draw correlations from what we see in front of us. But what we see usually represents just a small part of what has happened. Focusing on the evidence we can easily see at the expense of that we can’t leads to survivorship bias. To say it another way, when Bill Gates drops out of college and starts Microsoft it might seem like dropping out is a path to success for others too, but that ignores all the dropouts who didn’t create Microsofts and consequently you didn’t hear about. Silent evidence — the evidence that we don’t or can’t easily choose to consider — is a term from Nicholas Nassim Talleb. When trying to discover the veracity of the planes story I enjoyed Bill Casselman’s American Mathematical Society article on The Legend of Abraham Wald. The postscript points to some of the source behind the story including a mention of Stephen Sigler’s letter in Nature quoted above. I covered survivorship bias before but like this story so much I thought it was worth doing again.
On Survivorship Bias and The Job Hunt — Dr Darcie Dixon
Cliff Hazell on LinkedIn: Product roasts, Survivorship Bias and Lessons from Spotify. All this and…
Are you suffering from survivorship bias, Growth Mindset
Survivorship Bias - Imgur Survivorship bias, Data science learning, Critical thinking
Communicating science - Alan Barker
CB Session 15 - Prospect theory, biases, and misbehaving
Tag: bias - Sketchplanations
Constantinos (@cdemetriadis) / X
Sketchplanations - A weekly explanation in a sketch
เราอายุ ต่ำกว่า 18 ปี อยากลองเล่นหุ้น - Pantip
New podcast episode: Optimism bias in 2023
Recomendado para você
-
Quick Data Lessons: Survivorship Bias20 setembro 2024
-
an amazing use of the survivorship bias : r/clevercomebacks20 setembro 2024
-
Unveiling Survivorship Bias: Lessons from Abraham Wald's Aircraft20 setembro 2024
-
Survivorship Bias20 setembro 2024
-
Survivorship Bias – Welcome to Club Street Post20 setembro 2024
-
Missing data? Survive Survivorship Bias with Qlik - Climber20 setembro 2024
-
Survivorship Bias in Web Performance20 setembro 2024
-
Survivor's bias is common, especially - Safe Infant Sleep20 setembro 2024
-
Keyword:survivorship bias survivorship bias - FasterCapital20 setembro 2024
-
What is Survivorship Bias? Definition, Examples, and More From20 setembro 2024
você pode gostar
-
chess24 - Congratulations to Praggnanandhaa on becoming20 setembro 2024
-
Malacasa Blance 6/12 Piece White Porcelain Coffee Milk Cups20 setembro 2024
-
What is Amare? – Jaime Scribbles Games20 setembro 2024
-
Pack todos os veículos convertidos do GTA IV - Mods GTA Leve20 setembro 2024
-
El trigo20 setembro 2024
-
10 personagens da Corvinal mais famosos no mundo dos bruxos - Aficionados20 setembro 2024
-
The Idaten Deities Know Only Peace - Wikipedia20 setembro 2024
-
Kakashi Mask GIF - Kakashi Mask Sharingan - Discover & Share GIFs20 setembro 2024
-
Taramps Amplificadores20 setembro 2024
-
Assistir Kage no Jitsuryokusha ni Naritakute! 2 - Todos os20 setembro 2024